Cesc Fàbregas’ becomes less effective towards end of Season

In the first 6 games for Chelsea, Cesc Fàbregas has scored 1 and assisted 6 goals playing 529 minutes (75 minutes per goal contribution). Before the Chelsea fans think that he is going to shine in his return to Premier League and rejoice, we have to understand from his past records is that he is not consistent throughout the length of the season. Towards the end of the season, his effectiveness generally fades.

Cesc Fabregas performance over seasons
Cesc Fabregas’ performance over seasons

Over the last 10 seasons, Fabregas has played a minimum of 33 games each season with an average of 45 games per season. Over the last 8 seasons, he has also contributed to a minimum of 19 goals each season with an average contribution of 28 goals per season. That’s a very good record for the attacking midfielder. It reinforces his impact to the sides he has represented. Clearly, he is going to make an impact in Chelsea for years to come.

Though his performance over seasons were solid, his performance over the length of each season is skewed. When you analyze the statistic, minutes played per goal contribution, during the last 5 seasons, you could notice that his effectiveness generally fades towards the end of each season. In the following charts, the blue colored line shows the minutes he played to contribute a goal. If the line goes upwards, he isn’t contributing as much as he usually does. If the line goes downwards, he is contributing more than he usually does.

Cesc Fàbregas Performance in 2013-14
Cesc Fàbregas Performance in 2013-14
Cesc Fàbregas Performance in 2012-13
Cesc Fàbregas Performance in 2012-13
Cesc Fàbregas Performance in 2011-12
Cesc Fàbregas Performance in 2011-12
Cesc Fàbregas Performance in 2010-11
Cesc Fàbregas Performance in 2010-11
Cesc Fàbregas Performance in 2009-10
Cesc Fàbregas Performance in 2009-10

Generally, Fàbregas’ goal contribution was high at the beginning and fades towards the end of the season. This might also be because of lesser playing minutes per game. Plotting the minutes played per game alongside, it’s observed that he has always been consistent in playing time. The statistic, minutes played per game, has always been consistent throughout the season.

Cesc Fabregas' Performance over seasons
Cesc Fabregas’ Performance over seasons

Hence, Cesc will definitely be offering a lot of playing time for Chelsea, but towards the end whether he will contribute as effectively as he has started the season is doubtful based on past trend.

Related articles:

  1. 101 great goals: http://www.101greatgoals.com/blog/fact-chelseas-cesc-fabregas-ex-arsenal-is-the-1st-man-to-assist-in-6-consecutive-epl-games/
  2. At the far post: http://atthefarpost.wordpress.com/2014/08/20/premier-league-cesc-fabregas-has-already-proven-that-barcelona-and-arsenal-were-unwise-not-to-show-more-love-to-the-chelsea-midfielder/
  3. White House Address: http://whitehouseaddress.blogspot.in/2014/06/the-problem-with-cesc-fabregas.html
  4. Outside of the Boot: http://outsideoftheboot.com/2014/08/30/cesc-fabregas-the-more-things-change-the-more-they-stay-the-same/

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